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Obama wins in Virginia

ELECTION RESULTS

Presidential Race: President Obama wins 51 to 48 percent.
Senate Race: Tim Kaine defeats George Allen 52 to 48 percent.


Virginia and its 13 electoral votes are in play this year and it’s a crucial battleground state. While ranked the 27th most conservative state and 0.97 percent more Republican than the national average, the population is trending Democrat in presidential elections.


In recent days, most Virginia polls have Barack Obama gaining on Mitt Romney, but only by a hair. While Ohio has received a lot of media attention in the race for president, Virginia may decide the presidential election along with control of the U.S. Senate.

For the 2012 general election, the Virginia voter registration deadline was October 15. The state allows in-person ballot casting ahead of Election Day – but state officials call it in-person absentee voting and voters need an excuse to do it. This year, early voting began Sept. 21. Certain individuals can vote by mail. Ballots must be sealed in the official envelope provided in the presence of a witness and be sent or hand delivered to the local voter registration office.

From 1952 through 2004, Virginia was reliably Republican. The only exception was the landslide victory of Lyndon Johnson over Barry Goldwater in 1964. Republican presidential candidates won 10 of the last 11 elections. Changing demographics in recent years put the state in play and it was won by Barack Obama, 53 percent to 46 percent over John McCain, in the 2008 Presidential race. Another win by President Obama in Virginia could prove devastating for Mitt Romney in the electoral battle.

Virginia is home to a growing number of younger, well-educated voters flocking to northern Virginia where Obama polls high. In 2008, Obama carried the metropolitan Washington area of northern Virginia by 260,000 votes, about the same margin as he carried the entire state.

Women’s issues, especially the debate over birth-control coverage by health insurance, play a disproportionate role in the northern part of the state, with its bustling suburbs. The rural economy, social issues and military policy are important in the more traditionally conservative parts of Virginia.

Republican Gov. Bob McDonnell won election in 2009. Since then Virginia Republicans have made gains in the U.S. House and the state legislature. Both McDonnell and the legislature drew heavy criticism after passage of controversial bills, including one that forced women to get an ultrasound before having an abortion and required doctors to ask whether she wants to hear the fetal heartbeat and obtain a printed image of the fetus. The legislation was later watered down.

Virginia is allotted 11 congressional districts. It’s unchanged due to reapportionment after the 2010 census. The Republican Party holds eight of the 11 congressional seats. In the 7th Congressional District, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor is being challenged by Wayne Powell, a retired Army colonel and Chesterfield County lawyer. In a recent poll, just 25 percent of Virginians had a favorable view of the House leader although that number is higher in Cantor’s own district.


Election Fraud

Several states including Virginia have enacted new voter ID laws yet numerous studies have found that in-person voter fraud is virtually non-existent. The laws do suppress voter turnout among citizens who lean toward the Democratic Party, such as minority voters, students, and the elderly who are not wealthy.

Meanwhile, real election fraud has been ignored by state officials. As an example, in Virginia this month, Colin Small was caught discarding voter registration forms in a trash bin behind a store in Harrisonburg yet Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, a Republican, refused to start a statewide investigation into the case. While Cuccinelli reversed his decision this week, it was only under pressure after photos were published of him with Small at the Virginia GOP Victory office. Critics believe Cuccinelli will bury the investigation after the election. A senior Republican official has told the Washington Post that Cuccinelli will run for governor in 2013.

Small was employed by Strategic Allied Consulting, a company formed this summer at the request of the Republican National Committee (RNC) and headed by Nathan Sproul, a veteran GOP operative. Sproul’s firm was under contract to the Republican Party of Virginia.

Local prosecutors have charged Small with destruction of voter registration applications, disclosure of voter registration applications and obstruction of justice. On his LinkedIn profile, Small is listed as a “Grassroots Field Director” for the Republican National Committee.

The firm was supposedly fired by the RNC and state Republican parties last month after fraudulent registration forms were discovered by various election officials. The arrest of Small and known activities by other employees reveal that the supposed firing was a deception.

On Monday, U.S. Reps. Gerald Connolly, James P. Moran Jr. and Bobby Scott, all Democrats, signed a letter to U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder seeking a nationwide investigation. Spraul’s company operates in several states for the Republican Party and several have uncovered voter fraud.

Nathan Sproul, accused of electoral misconduct in past elections, shares a Virginia headquarters address with American Crossroads, a super PAC founded by Karl Rove and Ed Gillespie, a senior advisor to Mitt Romney. Sproul is also a paid political consultant for Mitt Romney’s campaign.

Virginia Senate Race

Sen. Jim Webb did not to seek reelection this year. Republican George Allen and Democrat Tim Kaine are seeking to replace him. Both candidates have records – Kaine as governor, Allen as governor and senator. The outcome may be crucial in determining which political party controls the Senate.

If elected, Allen has pledged to work to overturn the Affordable Care Act, Obama’s health care overhaul. He says repealing the law would save the nation $1 trillion over 10 years – a claim that has been debunked by every independent fact-checking service including PolitiFact Virginia who rated the claim as “False.”

Kaine has claimed that Mitt Romney and George Allen “would overturn Roe v. Wade and allow states to end safe, legal abortion even in cases of rape, incest or when a woman’s life is at risk.” In 2003, Allen voted against the Harkin Amendment, which asked U.S. senators to affirm that the Supreme Court decision “should not be overturned.” When asked directly about his view, Allen has refused to answer.

In 2003, Allen was on the losing side in the U.S. Senate to slow the rate of  Pell Grants. The non-partisan GAO said the change would have dropped 92,000 students from eligibility. Allen served in the U.S. Senate from 2001 to 2007.

Allen favors raising the eligibility age for Medicare and Social Security. For Medicare, Allen has been a strong supporter of a voucher program for those now under 55 although his position has changed since seeking his old job back.

Besides President Barack Obama, Kaine has had the biggest number of super political action committee TV ads opposing his campaign.


WeAskAmerica released a poll Nov. 2 and George Allen and Tim Kaine’are tied at 50 percent each. A CBS / NYT / Quinnipiac poll released Oct. 31 has Kaine leading by a margin of 50 to 46 percent. A poll by Gravis Marketing released Oct. 27 has George Allen at 48 percent to Tim Kaine’s 46 percent.

2012 Presidential Election

Candidates on the 2012 Virginia presidential ballot are:

Constitution Party: Virgil Goode / Jim Clymer
Democratic Party: Barack Obama / Joseph Biden
Green Party: Jill Stein / Cheri Honkala
Libertarian Party: Gary Johnson / James P. Gray
Republican Party: Mitt Romney / Paul Ryan

Virginia Polling

presidential polls Date obama polls Poll 2012 political polling Results presidential poll Spread
florida poll 11/2 WeAskAmerica Obama 49, Romney 48 Obama +1
10/31 CBS / NYT / Quinnipiac Obama 49, Romney 47 Obama +2
florida election 10/27 Washington Post Obama 51, Romney 47 Obama +4
mitt romney poll 10/27 Gravis Marketing Romney 48, Obama 48 Even
mitt romney poll 10/26 Purple State Strategy Romney 47, Obama 47 Even
romney florida polls 10/25 Public Policy Polling Obama 51, Romney 46 Obama +5
florida poll 10/24 U of V / George Mason Romney 46, Obama 45 Romney +1
florida poll 10/19 Rasmussen Reports Romney 50, Obama 47 Romney +3
florida presidential polling
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9 Responses

  1. AJ Perea says:

    This is the amazing and continuing ten year Lie that those extremists unpatriotic scumbags in Congress have been keeping from Middle Class Americans! The report Mitch McConnell and Grover Norquest doesn’t want you to see: When the GOP suppresses inconvenient factual truths, ‘This has hues of a banana republic’ KEEPING IT THOUGHTFULLY HONEST: The Congressional Research Service which has reputation for creditable and factual economic reports stated: Report found NO correlation between top tax rates and economic growth, a central tenet of conservative economic theory! However, this factual based, non-partisan report by Congressional Research Service was withdrawn after Senate Republicans desperately raised superficial arguments about the paper’s findings that is the central tenet of conservative economic theory of what most of us Middle Class American have suspected to be true that billionaires and millionaire with their tax breaks give-aways created NO American jobs, except in China and India! THE INCONVENIENT TRUTH: It is important in election because it clearly shows the Romney / Ryan so-call economic plan and their Congressional republicans put in serious question “the premise that lowering the top marginal tax rate stimulates economic growth and job creation.” Conclusion is “the Hungerford study was bound to be widely circulated. It emerged in the final months of a presidential campaign in which tax policy has been a central focus. Mr. Romney, the Republican nominee, maintains that any increase in the top tax rates on income and capital gains would slow economic growth and crush the job market’s recovery. So ten years later Senate Republican McConnell still wishes hide the facts so he protests both the tone of the report and its findings because the truth is finally getting out that the republican and the “Have it Alls” in the one percent have done nothing but got richer at the backs of the Middle Class American taxpayers! And I will close by saying that still there is NO DISCLOSURE of his income taxes! Shame on you, free press media http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/business/questions-raised-on-withdrawal-of-congressional-research-services-report-on-tax-rates.html?adxnnl=1&ref=business&adxnnlx=1351789536-jISNv5WiJ545EISxkBbd4Q http://maddowblog.msnbc.com/_news/2012/11/02/14889448-the-report-mitch-mcconnell-doesnt-want-you-to-see?threadId=3603232&commentId=71646651#c71646651

  2. Jens Lutz says:

    Eric Cantor is a lying little twit who would spin anything toward a GOP victory even at the expense of US Citizens. I listened to his circle of words on Meet the press that answered no question that was posed to him. This is just the way Republicans do things and I hope that voters look at the facts and numbers rather than listen to political blowhards like Cantor.

    • Roger Head says:

      We all know Obama hasn’t done his job so why drag this out it’s time for a change! Obama has to go!

      • Sallie Mathis says:

        Roger, be careful of what you ask, because you might get just that, and it may well be to your great disadvantage. With all the GOP paid election fraud going on under Romney’s watch, and the non-disclosure of taxes, and the change with the wind politics, and the behind-closed-doors statements about the non-wealthy, do you really believe that your best interest will be served? Don’t you think perhaps the interest of those so desperate to commit such fraudulent acts might be top priority? With the proof of blatant dishonesty going on with voter registration by GOP paid affiliates, you think honesty will magically appear after the election? I totally agree with Jen Lutz ‘ comment, “…I hope that voters look at the facts and number rather than listen to …” It seems that President Obama hasn’t needed to retract anything because he tends says what he really feels and believes. If I were placing my trust somewhere and banking on the future of myself and family, I’d have to put all prejudices aside and make a well thought out and unbiased decision.

  3. Louise says:

    Yes, ALL American Citizens should vote – it is our right and responsibility to vote. In order to be able to cast our choices in elections, we are required to Register to Vote and then provide our identification showing that we are who we are – American Citizens with the RIGHT to vote. To not have registered and then NOT have proper identification to show our legitimacy is wrong and those who show up on election day should not be allowed to vote – now THAT is voters fraud if anyone is allowed to vote without the proper credentials. Period. I’m sure there have been so many times when someone who is NOT an American Tax Paying Citizen has been able to slide in to polling places in various States and vote when they do NOT have the right to do so. We need to do this the RIGHT way.

  4. Angela says:

    The Fed. Government and States require every Man, Woman and child to have a Social Security Number. The reson being , it identifies us as American Citizens & it gives the Government (Demacrat or Republican) the “Right” to control Citizens & Taxes. Our “Rights” as an American Citizen with a S.S. # is to Vote for a person, that will hold a Government Political Office, “On OUR behalf” If I can prove my “Right of Citizenship to count as ONE Vote, then so should every Citizen of legal age. This is a Democracy!!! I urge every U.S. Citizen to Vote for the Candidate that will uphold the US Constitution. We need LESS Government control, to keep us a FREE Country, not a Socialist Country. “God Bless America”

  5. Jack says:

    Everywhere I go conservatives are blowing off what is clearly organized election fraud and voter suppression by GOP operatives. It says alot about the morals amd values of those on the far right. Everyone should be pissed that a political party is denying Americans their vote. I read it could be 10 million people this year. Or are we not a democracy anymore?

    • Sara says:

      If they registered and show up with their id, no one is denied or turned away. Voter suppression? I don’t think so. Why do you think there are so many voter precincts? It allows everyone to be able to get to a polling booth and vote. AND, I am so tired of hearing “EVERYONE from the right” or “EVERYONE from the left”. Majority of us from both sides are hard working middle class citizens that just want less taxation, good representation, and less government interference. We’re tired of people getting handouts while we sweat our butts off trying to give our kids a roof, food, and a good education. I’ll tell you this – no we are not a democracy, we’re a republic. Every basic student learns this is high school government. If the number is 10 million, then I want to see them bring a suit forward. There’s power in numbers, but I doubt that that number is truth. I doubt a lot of things told to us by the government and the media. The GOP operatives are no different than the ACORN operatives. Wake up – it’s on both sides!! It doesn’t matter. Do you see Obama or Romney struggling to live or be able to buy new clothes for themselves and their families. Do you notice that ALL people in federal government have money, homes, healthcare, etc? We’re becoming the old U.S.S.R. with politicians that have all the wealth of the nation living off the backs of the people saying they are for us. Isn’t that what the marxists/communists told the people? Get rid of the czars and their families (which would be the rich here in our country) and share the wealth. The only people that will benefit from us attacking the rich and taking their money is……GUESS WHO??? THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AND HIGH RANKING STATE GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.

    • Sallie Mathis says:

      Well said Jack. When people are self-serving to the point of committing fraud against fellow citizens, it sounds familiar. Isn’t that what happened when our economy went south and we landed in a severe state of recession–potentially headed for another great depression? It’s taken nearly four years to pull us out of that state of potential bread lines. With all the jobs being created today, we’re still struggling with the aftermath of that recession, and I’m not alone when I say, “I’m not taking a chance on that condition starting over again.” This is definitely no time to have blinders on.

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